Statewide polls for the 2016 United States presidential election are as follows. The polls listed here, by state, are from January 1 to August 31, 2016, and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against a possible Democratic candidate.

Note some states had not conducted polling yet or no updated polls were present from January 1 to August 31, 2016.

Alabama

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 60%–39%
(Republican in 2012) 61%–38%

Alaska

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–38%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–41%

Four-way race

Arizona

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–44%

Four-way race

Arkansas

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–39%
(Republican in 2012) 61%–37%

Three-way race

California

55 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 60%–37%

Three-way race

Four-way race

Colorado

9 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–46%

Two-way race

Four-way race

Connecticut

7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%

Four-way race

Delaware

3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 59%–40%

Three-way race

District of Columbia

3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 92%–7%
(Democratic in 2012) 91%–7%

No polling was conducted in 2016

Florida

29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2012) 50%–49%

Georgia

16 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 52%–47%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–45%

Three-way race

Four-way race

Idaho

4 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 61%–36%
(Republican in 2012) 64%–32%

Four-way race

Illinois

20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%

Three-way race

Four-way race

Indiana

11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
(Republican in 2012) 54%–44%

Three-way race

Iowa

6 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%

Four-way race

Kansas

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–42%
(Republican in 2012) 60%–38%

Three-way race

Four-way race

Kentucky

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 57%–41%
(Republican in 2012) 60%–38%

Four-way race

Louisiana

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–40%
(Republican in 2012) 58%–41%

Two-way race

Maine

4 electoral votes (Statewide vote worth 2 EVs; 1st and 2nd congressional districts worth 1 EV each)
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 56%–41%

Maryland

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 62%–36%

Four-way race

Massachusetts

11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 61%–38%

Michigan

16 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–41%
(Democratic in 2012) 54%–45%

Three-way race

Four-way race

Minnesota

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–45%

Missouri

10 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 49.4%–49.2%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–44%

Three-way race

Four-way race

Nevada

6 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 55%–43%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%

Two-way race

Three-way

Four-way race

Five-way race

New Hampshire

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%

Three-way race

Four-way race

New Jersey

14 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%

Three-way race

Four-way race

New Mexico

5 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–43%

Three-way race

Four-way race

New York

29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 63%–35%

Three-way race

Four-way race

North Carolina

15 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
(Republican in 2012) 50%–48%

Three-way race

Four-way race

Ohio

18 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–47%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–48%

Three-way race

Four-way race

Oklahoma

7 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 66%–34%
(Republican in 2012) 67%–33%

Three-way race

Oregon

7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 54%–42%

Four-way race

Pennsylvania

20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–47%

Three-way race

Four-way race

South Carolina

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 54%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–44%

Four-way race

Tennessee

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%
(Republican in 2012) 59%–39%

Texas

38 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 55%–44%
(Republican in 2012) 57%–41%

Three-way race

Five-way race

Utah

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 62%–34%
(Republican in 2012) 73%–25%

Three-way race

Four-way race

Six-way race

Vermont

3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 67%–30%
(Democratic in 2012) 67%–31%

Three-way race

Virginia

13 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 53%–46%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–47%

Three-way race

Four-way race

Washington

12 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 56%–41%

Four-way race

West Virginia

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2012) 62%–36%

Four-way race

Wisconsin

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 56%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–46%

Three-way race

Four-way race

See also

  • Pre-2016 statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election
  • Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election

References


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